Futures Thinking Tools and Techniques
Expert-defined terms from the Professional Certificate in Strategic Foresight and Scenario Planning course at London School of Business and Administration. Free to read, free to share, paired with a globally recognised certification pathway.
Futures Thinking Tools and Techniques #
Futures Thinking Tools and Techniques
Futures thinking tools and techniques refer to a set of methodologies, processes… #
In the context of the Professional Certificate in Strategic Foresight and Scenario Planning, these tools and techniques are crucial for developing foresight capabilities and creating strategic plans that are resilient to uncertainty and change.
Backcasting #
Backcasting
Backcasting is a futures thinking technique that involves starting with a desire… #
It helps organizations set goals and create pathways to achieve their long-term strategic objectives.
Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) #
Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)
Causal Layered Analysis is a tool that helps uncover the underlying causes and a… #
It involves analyzing issues at four levels: litany (events), systemic (trends), worldview (values and beliefs), and myth (deep cultural narratives).
Delphi Method #
Delphi Method
The Delphi Method is a structured forecasting technique that involves gathering… #
It is used to reduce biases and uncertainties in decision-making processes.
Emerging Issues Analysis #
Emerging Issues Analysis
Emerging Issues Analysis is a process of scanning the external environment to id… #
It helps organizations proactively address potential risks and capitalize on emerging opportunities.
Environmental Scanning #
Environmental Scanning
Environmental scanning is a systematic process of monitoring, evaluating, and in… #
It helps organizations stay informed about changes in their operating environment and make informed strategic decisions.
Forecasting #
Forecasting
Forecasting is a method of predicting future trends and developments based on hi… #
It helps organizations anticipate changes in their industry, market, or operating environment and plan accordingly.
Horizon Scanning #
Horizon Scanning
Horizon scanning is a futures thinking technique that involves monitoring the ex… #
It helps organizations detect emerging issues before they become mainstream and prepare for future uncertainties.
Scenario Planning #
Scenario Planning
Scenario planning is a strategic foresight technique that involves creating mult… #
It helps organizations identify risks, opportunities, and strategic options to build resilience and adaptability in an uncertain world.
SWOT Analysis #
SWOT Analysis
SWOT Analysis is a strategic planning tool that helps organizations identify the… #
It is used to assess the internal and external factors that may impact an organization's future performance and competitiveness.
Technology Roadmapping #
Technology Roadmapping
Technology roadmapping is a strategic planning tool that helps organizations ali… #
It involves mapping out the development and integration of key technologies to support future innovation and growth.
Wild Cards #
Wild Cards
Wild cards are low #
probability, high-impact events that have the potential to disrupt the status quo and create significant uncertainty in the future. They are unpredictable events that can challenge organizations to think creatively and prepare for unexpected scenarios.
Weak Signal Analysis #
Weak Signal Analysis
Weak signal analysis is a process of identifying and interpreting subtle signals… #
It helps organizations anticipate emerging issues and proactively respond to changes in their operating environment.
Visioning #
Visioning
Visioning is a process of creating a compelling and aspirational vision of the f… #
It helps organizations articulate their long-term goals and aspirations to drive innovation and organizational change.